The Guru: Who Opens Strong — R1 Groupings and Tee Times Unpacked for Royal Birkdale
The R&A has published full Round 1 groupings and tee times for Royal Birkdale, and the draw already tells a story about wind, tide and temperament. Tee sheets stretch from early-morning starters through an extended afternoon wave, meaning weather windows will split the field more brutally than usual. The course is as much a chessboard as a golf course: who tees off when matters as much as who you’re paired with.
Among the headline pairings, the marquee groups are clustered so that big names will tee under identical conditions, offering direct comparisons from the first hole. Notable groupings include a heavyweight trio of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Collin Morikawa, while Rory McIlroy is paired with Viktor Hovland and Tommy Fleetwood — each group occupying contrasting slots in the waves. Organizers have staggered the leaders so morning and afternoon wind shifts could create artificial leaders and late-rising charge opportunities.
Strategically, early starters benefit from firmer greens and less afternoon wind, but they risk being overhauled if the breeze picks up and pin positions grow savage. Afternoon groups might face tougher wind but can exploit softer fairways and receptive greens if the forecast holds; that’s where patient, creative ball-strikers can gain strokes. The grouping architecture rewards adaptability: watch players who change strategy hole-by-hole rather than those who simply try to overpower the layout.
My call: watch the Scheffler–Rahm–Morikawa line for a steady opening salvo and expect McIlroy’s group to produce the headline fireworks if the wind moderates. If you’re following betting or fantasy, favour players in the middle of the morning wave who combine accuracy off the tee with short-game touch. When the dust settles on day one, the leaderboard will look familiar and deceptive — and the smart move is to expect volatility and back those with course craft, not just star power.