The Guru Backs Almekarem — Newbury Handicap Poised for a Quiet Conquest

Money has quietly moved for Almekarem at Newbury and that matters more than a thousand pundit predictions. This is not a flash headline: the horse arrives with improving form, a falling handicap mark and a jockey who rides Newbury with surgical precision. The market is whispering; The Guru is listening.

Almekarem’s last three runs show a clear upward curve and the current mark finally reflects that improvement without stripping value. Trainer notes suggest stamina in the ground and a softish surface will suit, while race shape looks likely to set up for a strong late-runner — exactly Almekarem’s game. Pace is the pivotal variable, and the map tomorrow looks permissive rather than hostile.

There are dangers: a wet forecast could muddy the picture and a fast early tempo would test his tactical speed, while several rivals have appealing marks and recent course form. Still, the combination of rider, trip and handicap relief gives Almekarem a margin other picks lack. Market strength around him confirms The Guru’s private view — connections are quietly optimistic for a reason.

The Guru’s call is straightforward: back Almekarem each-way or to win at sensible odds, size your stake conservatively and take a price rather than force it. If the market chops him down under heavy money, switch to an each-way cover or look to the second-favourite in a place-only play. This is a calculated play, not a fling — and The Guru trusts the pattern.